← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/20/2025
Water Penguin MillTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/20/2025
decks
3
(5.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
7-3-1
overall winrate
68.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1340
· range 1039–1656
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1178
Q3 1407
1750
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 10.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 50.9% | +0.6 |
| Slimes | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Wind Allies | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Water Penguin Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
